A Darfur dog and pony show in Kenya?

With Security Council ambassadors arriving in Kenya for a historic session designed to draw attention to the situation in Sudan, the Washington Post has this editorial summarizing the situation in Darfur:

In sum, the considered judgment of Sudan's rulers is that they can flout international commitments with impunity. Unless that judgment can be changed, the Security Council session in Kenya will not achieve anything. Sudan's dictatorship must be credibly threatened with sanctions that target officials responsible for war crimes, and these officials must also be made to face the possibility of prosecution. Beyond that, outsiders need to recognize that there is little prospect of security for Darfur's people -- and therefore little prospect of a return to destroyed villages, a resumption of agricultural production and an escape from starvation -- without a serious peacekeeping force. Gen. Romeo Dallaire, the U.N. commander in Rwanda during the genocide a decade ago, has suggested that a force of 44,000 is needed. Charles R. Snyder, the senior State Department official on Sudan, has estimated that securing Darfur would take 60 to 70 battalions.

More than a year and a half into Darfur's genocide, the United States and its allies have proved unwilling to consider that kind of commitment.

The two-day session that begins tomorrow is the Security Council's chance -- maybe its last real chance -- to back rhetoric with real pressure, which means oil sanctions. However, since China isn't likely to support any real punitive measures against their trading partners in Khartoum, I don't have high hopes.